Japanese JLPT Grammar Point
~でしょう (〜deshou)

~でしょう (〜deshou)

Short explanation:

A conjecture or probability; 'probably', 'I think', 'it seems'.

Formation:

Verb-ますstem + でしょう, い-Adjective + でしょう, な-Adjective + でしょう, Noun + でしょう

Examples:

明日は晴れでしょう。
Ashita wa hare deshou.
It will probably be sunny tomorrow.
彼は元気でしょう。
Kare wa genki deshou.
He is probably fine.
この本は面白いでしょう。
Kono hon wa omoshiroi deshou.
This book is probably interesting.
彼女は医者でしょう。
Kanojo wa isha deshou.
She is probably a doctor.

Long explanation:

The ~でしょう grammar point is used to indicate a conjecture or probability. It can be translated as 'probably', 'I think', or 'it seems' in English. It can be used with verbs, い-adjectives, な-adjectives, and nouns.

Detailed Grammar notes:

Processing keyword: ~でしょう (〜deshou)

Japanese Grammar Point: ~でしょう (〜deshou)

~でしょう (〜deshou)

1. Introduction

The grammar point ~でしょう (〜deshou) is a versatile expression in Japanese used to indicate probability, conjecture, or to seek confirmation. It often translates to "probably," "I think," or "isn't it?" in English. Understanding how to use ~でしょう correctly will enhance your ability to express uncertainty, make predictions, and confirm information in both formal and informal contexts.


2. Core Grammar Explanation

Meaning

  • Expressing Probability or Conjecture: Indicates that something is likely or probably true.
  • Seeking Confirmation: Used at the end of a sentence to ask for agreement or confirmation, similar to "right?" or "isn't it?" in English.

Structure

Formation

The formation of ~でしょう depends on the type of word it follows:

Word Type Plain Form + でしょう
Verb 食べる (taberu) - to eat 食べる でしょう (taberu deshou)
い-adjective 高い (takai) - expensive 高い でしょう (takai deshou)
な-adjective 便利 (benri da) - convenient 便利 でしょう (benri deshou)
Noun 学生 (gakusei da) - student 学生 でしょう (gakusei deshou)
  • Note: For な-adjectives and nouns, the copula is often dropped in formal speech.

Visual Aid: Formation Diagram

graph LR
A[Verb/Adjective/Noun] --> B[Plain Form]
B --> C[+ でしょう]

3. Comparative Analysis

~でしょう vs. ~かもしれません

~でしょう ~かもしれません
Meaning Probably; I think Might; may
Certainty Level Higher likelihood Lower likelihood
Example 雨が降るでしょう
(It will probably rain.)
雨が降るかもしれません
(It might rain.)
  • Key Difference: ~でしょう expresses a higher degree of certainty compared to ~かもしれません.

4. Examples in Context

Formal Speech

  1. 明日は寒くなるでしょう。
    • Ashita wa samuku naru deshou.
    • "It will probably get cold tomorrow."
  2. 彼は今忙しいでしょうか。
    • Kare wa ima isogashii deshou ka.
    • "Do you think he is busy now?"

Informal Speech

  1. あの映画は面白いだろう。
    • Ano eiga wa omoshiroi darou.
    • "That movie is probably interesting."
  2. 疲れたでしょう?
    • Tsukareta deshou?
    • "You're tired, aren't you?"

Seeking Confirmation

  1. これはあなたの本でしょう?
    • Kore wa anata no hon deshou?
    • "This is your book, isn't it?"
  2. 彼女は日本に行くでしょうね。
    • Kanojo wa Nihon ni iku deshou ne.
    • "She's going to Japan, right?"

Written Context

  1. 技術はさらに進歩するでしょう。
    • Gijutsu wa sara ni shinpo suru deshou.
    • "Technology will probably advance further."

5. Cultural Notes

Politeness and Formality

  • ~でしょう is more polite and formal compared to its casual counterpart ~だろう.
  • It is commonly used in formal conversations, news reports, weather forecasts, and polite daily interactions.
  • In writing, ~でしょう adds a level of formality and is preferred over ~だろう.

Idiomatic Expressions

  • でしょうがない / しょうがない
    • Means "can't be helped" or "it is inevitable."
    • Example: 待つしかないでしょうがない。
      • Matsu shika nai deshou ga nai.
      • "We have no choice but to wait."

6. Common Mistakes and Tips

Common Mistakes

  1. Using the Wrong Level of Formality
    • Mixing ~でしょう (formal) with casual speech.
    • Tip: Use ~だろう in informal contexts with friends or family.
  2. Confusing with ~と思います (to omoimasu)
    • ~と思います means "I think," expressing personal opinion.
    • Tip: Remember that ~でしょう often implies conjecture based on some evidence or expectation.

Learning Strategies

  • Mnemonic Device: Think of でしょう as "Deshou = Definitely shows uncertainty."
  • Practice: Create sentences about future events using ~でしょう to get comfortable with expressing probability.

7. Summary and Review

Key Takeaways

  • ~でしょう is used to express probability, conjecture, or to seek confirmation.
  • It adds politeness and formality to your speech.
  • Distinguish between ~でしょう (formal) and ~だろう (informal).
  • Remember the differences between ~でしょう and ~かもしれません in terms of certainty.

Quick Recap Quiz

  1. **How do you express "It might rain tomorrow" using ~でしょう?
    A) 明日は雨が降るでしょう。
    B) 明日は雨が降るかもしれません。
  2. Which is more formal, ~でしょう or ~だろう?
  3. **Translate to Japanese using ~でしょう: "He is probably a teacher."

Answers:

  1. A) 明日は雨が降るでしょう。
  2. ~でしょう is more formal.
  3. 彼は先生でしょう。
    Kare wa sensei deshou.

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